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#polling

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Polling can be misleading—are pundits misreading public opinion? Paul Krugman interviews **G. Elliott Morris**, who reveals how the "pundit's fallacy" skews insights on voters. By relying on data, not instincts, Morris explains the impact of dissatisfaction on recent elections and emphasizes understanding economic sentiments over simplistic narratives. For deeper insights, check out the full discussion [here](paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-c). #Polling #PublicOpinion #Politics #DataDriven #ElectionInsights

Paul Krugman · A Conversation With G. Elliott MorrisVon Paul Krugman

For the first time since the start of his second term, #Trump hit 50% #disapproval in #VoteHub's #polling #aggregation today. votehub.com/polls/

Presidents have come back from this. #Reagan bottomed out at something like 30% early in his first term, and then of course won re-election in a landslide. But Trump doesn't have that kind of political acumen.

If we have anything resembling a fair #election, 2026 will be a bloodbath, and I'm willing to bet 2028 as well. If we don't, well, it will be a bloodbath of a different kind.

votehub.comPresidential Approval Aggregate & More - VoteHubTrack presidential approval, generic ballot, and more with VoteHub’s polling aggregate. Updated in real time with clear, transparent methodology.

"It is absolutely right to emphasize the importance of respecting #voters, and try to understand them, rather than assuming that those who disagree with you are stupid or racist. But voters are not going to tell you how to #govern the country. It is not their job. Relying on their opinions to try to deduce what to do leads not only to incoherence, but to a negative loop."

samf.substack.com/p/the-rise-o

#UKpol
#MorganMcSweeney
#keirstarmer
#polling
#governing
#PoliticalLeadership
#politicalbeliefs

Comment is Freed · The Rise of the GurusVon Sam Freedman