#Trump has blown up a half century’s worth of globalization.
THE TRUTH ABOUT DONALD TRUMP’S “LIBERATION DAY”
Trump’s one-man #TradeWar was already hurting the #economy. His expansive new #tariffs will make things worse.
#ETTTTS #inflation #recession #RevengePolitics #PerceivedEnemies #geopolitics #USpol
https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-financial-page/the-truth-about-donald-trumps-liberation-day
After weeks of nervous anticipation in the #financial #markets & in the capitals of America’s #trading partners, #Trump’s “Liberation Day” #tariffs have arrived, &, even by his standards, they are shockingly high & wide-ranging. “For decades our country has been looted, pillaged, raped, & plundered by nations near & far,” Trump said on Wed to a crowd at the WH that included members of #UAW, & also elected #Republicans.
After delivering a potted #economic history of the country in which he bizarrely claimed that the #GreatDepression would have been avoided if high tariffs had been in place, #Trump announced that “reciprocal tariffs” would go into effect on April 9th, w/rates of 34% on goods imported from #China, 24% on #Japan, & 20% on the #EU. Some of the highest rates were reserved for export-led developing countries in #Asia: 46% on #Vietnam, 48% on #Laos, & 49% on #Cambodia.
#economy #recession #geopolitics
…The levies #Trump announced on Wed are separate from the ones he has already imposed on #steel, #aluminum, & foreign-made #cars & parts. Taken as a whole, his tariffs represent a dramatic expansion from the more narrowly targeted duties he imposed in his first term—some of which the Biden Admin retained—& a final nail in the coffin for the open #trading environment that reigned before 2016.
Acc/to Olu Sonola, an economist at Fitch Ratings, the average #US #tariff rate on all imports will be ~22%, a rate last seen around 1910 [you, know what led up to the #GreatDepression]. “This is a game changer, not only for the US economy but for the global #economy,” Sonola said in a statement. “Many countries will likely end up in a #recession.”
Some accounts of #Trump’s approach to #trade, …identify William McKinley, 25th POTUS, as inspiration. Others suggest that #Hitler’s Germany, which pursued an economic policy of self-sufficiency, or #autarky, may be Trump’s real role model. Wherever he got his love of #tariffs & #protectionism, the intellectual antecedents of his approach go back to English mercantilist thinkers of the 16th & 17th centuries, who also viewed trade as a zero-sum enterprise in which one side wins & the other loses.
…At a time when #trade was largely financed in gold & silver, the mercantilists thought of it in terms of accumulating #wealth, or “#treasure.” #Trump thinks in terms of dollars rather than gold, but little rests on that distinction. In his remarks on Wed, he repeated his unfounded claim that #Canada was *subsidizing* the #US to the tune of $200B a year. (Trade payments aren’t subsidies, & last year the US deficit in trade on goods & services w/Canada was well under a $100B.)
I think you're making it out to be more than it is.
It's to make every industry in every nation besides Russia come beg trump for exceptions to tariffs. It's a local mobster demanding protection money from every commercial entity in his territory.
@Nonilex Drat. I was thinking of buying my wife a bottle of champagne for her birthday, but now the Felonious Insurrectionist has explained it all, i understand all i would be doing is subsidising France, which would be bad, tremendously bad.
IMO, there is zero economic theory behind Trump's #TariffWar . Rather, it's one area where he can act unilaterally to start/stop tariffs - and create the chaos that brings people running to him begging for his help.
It's a mob shakedown. Simple as.
@Nonilex
I think his policies all come from watching The Gilded Age on the teevee.